Sunday, March 1, 2015

MRKL on Ice: Feb Part 1 (Valuating Picks and a Hodgepodge of Other Shit by way of Lists)

As the trade deadline approaches, a necessary exercise that all GMs must engage in involves the consideration of which players will be kept for next season and which are effectively spare parts. And as some teams look to trim some fat which can be used as effective energy storage for other less fortunate squads, it seemed worthwhile to take a look at production by position and determine what types of assets are truly available at different stages of the draft.

Incidental to this objective, I’ve used this opportunity to also (a) compare each team’s ownership (potential keeper value) by position, and (b) demonstrate which GMs drafted particularly effectively.

There’s no real magic to this analysis, and I’m really going to leave it to you guys to draw whatever conclusions you wish heading into our final week before trade deadline. I can’t always lead you down the garden path to the "solution" to your problems…

The top 144 scoring forwards (as of Feb 25th)

Rank
Player
Pts
Current Owner
Status at Draft
1
Patrick Kane
64
Dicklas Lidstroms
Keeper
2
Jakub Voracek
64
Vanrooser Canicks
Keeper
3
Nicklas Backstrom
64
Magnus Faajarvis
Keeper
4
John Tavares
63
Teeyotes
Keeper
5
Alex Ovechkin
62
Patrik Stefans
Keeper (Flyers)
6
Sidney Crosby
62
Los Amjawors Kings
Keeper
7
Evgeni Malkin
61
G-Phil's Flyers
Keeper
8
Vladimir Tarasenko
60
Los Amjawors Kings
Keeper
9
Jamie Benn
60
Milan Micahleks
Keeper
10
Tyler Seguin
59
G-Phil's Flyers
Keeper (Stefans)
11
Tyler Johnson
59
Teeyotes
Keeper
12
Rick Nash
58
Schizzarks
Keeper
13
Ryan Getzlaf
58
Milan Micahleks
Keeper
14
Claude Giroux
57
Joshfrey Krupuls
Keeper
15
Steven Stamkos
55
Powder Rangers
Keeper
16
Joe Pavelski
55
Magnus Faajarvis
Keeper
17
Nick Foligno
55
Winter Claassics
Free Agent
18
Henrik Sedin
55
Schizzarks
Keeper
19
Nikita Kucherov
53
Milan Micahleks
23
20
Ryan Johansen
53
Joshfrey Krupuls
Keeper
21
Daniel Sedin
53
Dicklas Lidstroms
Keeper
22
Max Pacioretty
52
Patrik Stefans
Keeper
23
Logan Couture
52
Patrik Stefans
Keeper
24
Filip Forsberg
52
Patrik Stefans
Prospect
25
Alexander Steen
51
Dicklas Lidstroms
Keeper
26
Jason Spezza
51
Schizzarks
Keeper
27
Mike Ribeiro
51
Magnus Faajarvis
Keeper
28
Joe Thornton
51
Magnus Faajarvis
Keeper (Mackhawks)
29
Bryan Little
50
Los Amjawors Kings
Keeper
30
Pavel Datsyuk
49
Patrik Stefans
Keeper (Flyers)
31
Andrew Ladd
49
Magnus Faajarvis
Keeper (Rordiques)
32
Jonathan Toews
49
Quebec Rordiques
Keeper
33
Henrik Zetterberg
49
Joshfrey Krupuls
Keeper
34
Phil Kessel
48
Mackhawks
Keeper
35
Jiri Hudler
48
Dicklas Lidstroms
39
36
Derick Brassard
48
Dicklas Lidstroms
Keeper
37
Ondrej Palat
47
Los Amjawors Kings
6
38
Zach Parise
46
Schizzarks
Keeper
39
Jaden Schwartz
46
Vanrooser Canicks
Keeper (Kings)
40
Jeff Carter
46
Patrik Stefans
5
41
James van Riemsdyk
45
Magnus Faajarvis
Keeper
42
Tomas Tatar
44
W Benham-Scranton Parkers
Keeper
43
Martin St. Louis
44
Joshfrey Krupuls
Keeper
44
Marian Hossa
44
Mackhawks
Keeper
45
Blake Wheeler
44
Winter Claassics
Keeper
46
Johnny Gaudreau
44
Patrik Stefans
2
47
Bobby Ryan
44
Quebec Rordiques
Keeper
48
Kyle Okposo
44
Joshfrey Krupuls
Keeper
49
Anze Kopitar
44
Joshfrey Krupuls
Keeper (Rangers)
50
Gustav Nyquist
43
Schizzarks
Keeper
51
Ryan Callahan
43
Powder Rangers
60
52
Jordan Eberle
43
G-Phil's Flyers
Keeper
53
Patrick Marleau
43
Winter Claassics
Keeper
54
Valtteri Filppula
43
Joshfrey Krupuls
9
55
Derek Stepan
43
G-Phil's Flyers
Keeper
56
Wayne Simmonds
42
Mackhawks
Keeper
57
Radim Vrbata
42
Milan Micahleks
Keeper
58
Sean Monahan
42
Magnus Faajarvis
Prospect
59
Tomas Plekanec
42
Magnus Faajarvis
49
60
Patrice Bergeron
42
Teeyotes
Keeper
61
Corey Perry
41
Dicklas Lidstroms
Keeper
62
David Backes
41
Dicklas Lidstroms
Keeper (Rangers)
63
Jarome Iginla
41
Mackhawks
Keeper
64
T.J. Oshie
41
W Benham-Scranton Parkers
Keeper
65
Kyle Turris
41
Dicklas Lidstroms
Keeper
66
Jason Pominville
41
Milan Micahleks
Keeper
67
Brandon Saad
40
G-Phil's Flyers
Keeper (Stefans)
68
Alex Tanguay
40
Patrik Stefans
36
69
Colin Wilson
39
Dicklas Lidstroms
55
70
Alex Galchenyuk
39
Vanrooser Canicks
Keeper
71
Matt Duchene
39
Powder Rangers
Keeper (Krupuls)
72
Scott Hartnell
39
Joshfrey Krupuls
Keeper (Teeyotes)
73
Thomas Vanek
39
Magnus Faajarvis
Keeper
74
Ryan Strome
39
Vanrooser Canicks
Prospect
75
Patric Hornqvist
38
Powder Rangers
Keeper
76
Tyler Toffoli
38
Vanrooser Canicks
Keeper
77
Gabriel Landeskog
38
Winter Claassics
Keeper
78
Mikko Koivu
38
Schizzarks
Keeper (Lidstroms)
79
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
37
Winter Claassics
Keeper
80
Tyler Bozak
37
W Benham-Scranton Parkers
Keeper
81
Chris Kunitz
37
Schizzarks
Keeper (Rangers)
82
Ryan Kesler
37
Schizzarks
Keeper
83
Mark Stone
37
Teeyotes
Prospect
84
Nathan MacKinnon
37
W Benham-Scranton Parkers
Keeper
85
Nick Bjugstad
36
Teeyotes
10
86
Eric Staal
36
Moilers
Keeper
87
Mathieu Perreault
36
G-Phil's Flyers
Free Agent
88
Brock Nelson
36
Patrik Stefans
85
89
Frans Nielsen
36
Milan Micahleks
15 (WBS Parkers)
90
Mike Hoffman
35
Powder Rangers
Free Agent (Schizzarks)
91
Brendan Gallagher
35
Moilers
Keeper
92
Marcus Johansson
35
Milan Micahleks
63
93
Antoine Vermette
35
Joshfrey Krupuls
79
94
Ryan O'Reilly
35
Quebec Rordiques
Keeper
95
David Desharnais
35
G-Phil's Flyers
Keeper
96
James Neal
34
Milan Micahleks
Keeper
97
Craig Smith
34
Los Amjawors Kings
Keeper
98
Nazem Kadri
34
Winter Claassics
Keeper
99
Loui Eriksson
34
W Benham-Scranton Parkers
Keeper
100
David Perron
34
Winter Claassics
Keeper
101
Mats Zuccarello
34
Moilers
Keeper
102
Brayden Schenn
34
Quebec Rordiques
Keeper
103
Carl Soderberg
34
Dicklas Lidstroms
31
104
Mark Scheifele
34
Winter Claassics
Prospect
105
Marian Gaborik
33
Dicklas Lidstroms
Keeper
106
Tyler Ennis
33
Mackhawks
13
107
Paul Stastny
33
Teeyotes
Keeper
108
Jonathan Huberdeau
33
Vanrooser Canicks
Keeper
109
Jori Lehtera
33
Quebec Rordiques
65
110
Anders Lee
32
Vanrooser Canicks
34
111
Troy Brouwer
32
Milan Micahleks
95
112
Erik Cole
32
Free Agent
113
Brad Marchand
32
W Benham-Scranton Parkers
Keeper
114
Milan Lucic
32
Teeyotes
Keeper
115
Reilly Smith
32
Powder Rangers
12
116
Patrick Sharp
32
Milan Micahleks
Keeper (Canicks)
117
Brad Richards
32
Patrik Stefans
Keeper
118
Mike Cammalleri
31
W Benham-Scranton Parkers
Keeper
119
Mika Zibanejad
31
Moilers
Prospect
120
Chris Kreider
31
Winter Claassics
Prospect
121
Michael Frolik
31
G-Phil's Flyers
112
122
Kris Versteeg
31
W Benham-Scranton Parkers
Free Agent
123
Adam Henrique
31
Moilers
120
124
Alex Killorn
31
Teeyotes
Keeper
125
Josh Bailey
31
Magnus Faajarvis
Keeper (Rordiques)
126
Jussi Jokinen
31
Moilers
72
127
Matt Beleskey
30
Joshfrey Krupuls
Free Agent
128
Zemgus Girgensons
30
Quebec Rordiques
126
129
Justin Abdelkader
30
Free Agent
130
Mike Fisher
30
Joshfrey Krupuls
Free Agent
131
Taylor Hall
30
Moilers
Keeper
132
Justin Williams
29
Teeyotes
73 (Krupuls)
133
Darren Helm
29
Free Agent
134
Shane Doan
29
Mackhawks
113
135
Jaromir Jagr
29
Mackhawks
Keeper
136
Michael Santorelli
29
Schizzarks
Free Agent
137
Nino Niederreiter
28
Prospect (Krupuls)
138
Carl Hagelin
28
Powder Rangers
156
139
Mikkel Boedker
28
Los Amjawors Kings
Keeper
140
Sam Gagner
28
Mackhawks
45 (Faajarvis)
141
Brad Boyes
28
Free Agent
142
Riley Sheahan
28
Powder Rangers
108
143
Curtis Glencross
28
Winter Claassics
139
144
Patrick Maroon
28
Joshfrey Krupuls
111

Summary of the top 144 forwards and KL ownership

Top 6 avg rank
Team
# Players in Top 144
Picks in Top 144
24
Patrik Stefans
10
4
24.33
Magnus Faajarvis
10
2
29.83
Dicklas Lidstroms
11
3
34.5
Joshfrey Krupuls
12
4
37
Schizzarks
9
0
42.17
Milan Micahleks
10
3
46.33
G-Phil's Flyers
8
1
52.67
Los Amjawors Kings
6
1
58.33
Teeyotes
9
1
61.5
Winter Claassics
10
1
61.5
Vanrooser Canicks
7
1
69.5
Powder Rangers
8
4
72.83
Mackhawks
8
2
80.33
WBS Parkers
8
0
85.33
Quebec Rordiques
6
2
107.67
Moilers
7
2


The top 64 scoring defencemen (as of Feb 28th)

RankPlayerPtsCurrent OwnerStatus at Draft
1P.K. Subban48Winter ClaassicsKeeper
2Mark Giordano48MackhawksKeeper
3Erik Karlsson47G-Phil's FlyersKeeper
4Kris Letang47Patrik StefansKeeper
5Brent Burns46MackhawksKeeper
6Roman Josi46Milan MicahleksKeeper
7Shea Weber43Magnus FaajarvisKeeper
8John Carlson43Milan MicahleksKeeper
9Dustin Byfuglien41TeeyotesKeeper
10Keith Yandle41SchizzarksKeeper
11Justin Faulk40MoilersKeeper
12Mark Streit40SchizzarksKeeper
13Kevin Shattenkirk40G-Phil's FlyersKeeper
14Tyson Barrie39Joshfrey KrupulsKeeper
15Andrei Markov39Joshfrey KrupulsKeeper
16Dennis Wideman37Patrik StefansKeeper (Rordiques)
17Niklas Kronwall37G-Phil's FlyersKeeper
18Duncan Keith36W Benhman-Scranton ParkersKeeper
19Drew Doughty36Dicklas LidstromsKeeper
20Mike Green36Winter ClaassicsKeeper
21TJ Brodie35Dicklas Lidstroms50
22Sami Vatanen34Los Amjawors KingsProspect (Micahleks)
23Dougie Hamilton34Milan MicahleksKeeper
24Cody Franson34Joshfrey Krupuls52 (Schizzarks)
25Trevor Daley32Dicklas Lidstroms81
26John Klingberg32Prospect
27Aaron Ekblad32Schizzarks4
28Alex Pietrangelo32Powder RangersKeeper
29Oliver Ekman-Larsson31MoilersKeeper
30Torey Krug31Vanrooser CanicksKeeper
31Johnny Boychuk30Magnus FaajarvisFree Agent (Canicks)
32Anton Stralman30MoilersFree Agent
33Ryan Suter30Joshfrey KrupulsKeeper (Rangers)
34Victor Hedman29Vanrooser CanicksKeeper
35Brent Seabrook28Los Amjawors KingsKeeper
36James Wisniewski28Patrik StefansKeeper
37Hampus Lindholm28W Benhman-Scranton Parkers19
38Jake Muzzin28Patrik Stefans82
39Jack Johnson27Vanrooser Canicks66
40Nick Leddy26Dicklas LidstromsKeeper (Rangers)
41Cam Fowler26Winter ClaassicsKeeper
42Alex Goligoski26Quebec RordiquesKeeper
43Kevin Klein25Free Agent
44Michael Del Zotto25Powder Rangers92
45Travis Hamonic25Patrik Stefans145 (Rordiques)
46Jason Garrison25Teeyotes26
47David Savard24Dicklas LidstromsFree Agent
48Erik Johnson23Moilers24
49Morgan Rielly23Magnus FaajarvisProspect
50Ryan McDonagh23Powder RangersKeeper (Krupuls)
51Justin Schultz23MackhawksKeeper
52Marek Zidlicky23Schizzarks41 (Krupuls)
53Dion Phaneuf23Magnus FaajarvisKeeper
54Danny DeKeyser23G-Phil's Flyers80
55Seth Jones22MackhawksProspect (Faajarvis)
56Brian Campbell22Winter Claassics27
57Thomas Hickey21Free Agent
58Kris Russell21Los Amjawors KingsFree Agent
59Marco Scandella20Free Agent
60Matt Niskanen20TeeyotesKeeper
61Justin Braun20Free Agent
62Jacob Trouba19Magnus Faajarvis17 (Rordiques)
63Jason Demers19W Benhman-Scranton Parkers11
64Andrej Sekera19Vanrooser Canicks22 (Kings)

Summary of top 64 defencemen and KL ownership

Top 3 avg rankTeam# Players in Top 64Picks in top 64
11G-Phil's Flyers41
12.33Milan Micahleks30
16.33Schizzarks42
17.67Joshfrey Krupuls41
18.67Patrik Stefans51
19.33Mackhawks40
20.67Winter Claassics41
21.67Dicklas Lidstroms52
24Moilers41
29Magnus Faajarvis50
34.33Vanrooser Canicks41
38.33Los Amjawors Kings31
38.33Teeyotes31
39.33WBS Parkers32
40.67Powder Rangers31
oh noQuebec Rordiques12


Top 16 goalies in the KL (as of Feb 28th)

RankPlayerPtsCurrent OwnerStatus at Draft
1Carey Price94SchizzarksKeeper
2Marc-Andre Fleury87Magnus FaajarvisKeeper
3Braden Holtby86Los Amjawors Kings70
4Pekka Rinne83G-Phil's FlyersKeeper
5Jaroslav Halak79Winter Claassics75
6Frederik Andersen75Magnus Faajarvis105
7Ryan Miller7576 (Rangers)
8Kari Lehtonen75Joshfrey KrupulsKeeper
9Ben Bishop73TeeyotesKeeper
10Jonathan Quick73MackhawksKeeper
11Devan Dubnyk71Dicklas LidstromsFree Agent
12Antti Niemi70Patrik StefansKeeper (Kings)
13Henrik Lundqvist69Dicklas LidstromsKeeper
14Cory Schneider66Patrik StefansKeeper
15Tuukka Rask65Milan MicahleksKeeper
16Roberto Luongo63G-Phil's Flyers128

No summary necessary...

MRKL on Ice: February Part 2 (awards)

Snapshot of the standings as of March 1st:











HART

Awarded to the offensive player with the greatest point share for his team for the month (teams in top 10)

Winner: Jonathan Tavares 14.7% (Teeyotes)
Runners Up: Jamie Benn 13.4% (Milan Micahleks), Jason Spezza 12.8% and Henrik Sedin 12.8% (Schizzarks)

Hon. mention: Anders Lee: 15.6% (Vanrooser Canicks)





NORRIS

Awarded to the defenseman with the greatest PPG for the month (minimum 5 games)

Winner: PK Subban 1.07 (Winter Claassics) 

Runners up: Roman Josi 1.00 (Milan Micahleks) and Erik Karlsson 1.00 (G-Phil's Flyers)






CALDER

Awarded to the NHL rookie with the greatest PPG for the month (minimum 5 games)

Winner: Mike Hoffman 1.08 (Powder Rangers, sort of) 

Runners up: Anders Lee 1.00 (Vanrooser Canicks) and Mark Stone 0.92 (Teeyotes)



Denton's paralegal Chantal Vezina

VEZINA

Awarded to the goalie with the most KL points in the month

Winner: Devan Dubnyk 32, sort of (Dicklas Lidstroms, sort of)

Runners-up: Carey Price 25 (Schizzarks) and Cory Schneider 20 (Patrik Stefans, fuck our lives)







BENNING

Awarded to the GM who made the best moves of the month overall

Winner: 12 transactions went down in February as a gear-up before trade-deadline March 8th (Todd Bertuzzi/Steve Moore Co-Memorial Day). Though that is down from the mark of 16 set in January, it's fair to say that we have seen some much bigger players trading places. Ovechkin, Seguin, Thornton, Jones, Miller, Ehlers, are just some of the names that have been sloughed by their former GMs, while Lundqvist, Gaborik, Phaneuf, Elliott, Oshie, Kane, and Fuckin All-star Dany Heatley have all been called up or sent down within their own respective organizations. Awarding GM of the month should be more of a speculative exercise than anything, as your Commissioner attempts to predict which of these moves will payoff the most over the remainder of the season and into the future. Unfortunately, that exercise is damn near impossible, and I am left with an evaluation of the past 28 days and an ounce of subjectivity to avail myself of. After careful consideration, followed by self-loathing, I have no choice but to award the GM of the Magnus Faajarvis (nee Fylanders) with February honours. They not only find themselves atop the standings, but put up the highest total of the month, bolstered by their pick-ups of Thornton and Boychuk. If you go back to January 26th, they've actually benefited from an addition 4 points from Trouba in Phaneufs spot. Undo these moves, and the Faajarvis would be in a familiar dogfight for 3rd, 4th, or 5th, closer to the Lidstroms and Micahleks in the standings than the Krupuls and Stefans.

Runner up: I am reluctant to just hand out acknowledgement for flurries of activity, but I find myself compelled to do so on account of the Dicklas Lidstroms, who made one trade and used 3 add/drops in February. I admire the responsiveness shown by the Lidstroms to circumstances that grabbed their GM by the collar(bone) and challenged him to be bold, or fold. Losing King Henrik and Patty Kane in the same month is a lot of adversity. Add the loss of his back-up goalie Ryan Miller, and weaker GMs may have thrown in the towel. Instead, he has designated the driver between the pipes the rest of the way to be former flame-out Devan Dubnyk, he of the FOURTY-EIGHT (!!) would-be KL points since January 15th.




PREYDE-KIRSHENBLAT

Awarded to the GM who made the most disgraceful move of the month

Winner: Whenever you have an opportunity to name the GM of the G-Phil's Flyers the winner of the P-K award, you take it. Certainly, the justification here is very circuitous and overlooks the fact that the Flyers have injected Seguin, Domi, and Saad to their future. Still, let's just undo those moves--moves that sent two Russian superstars packing--for argument's sake. Let's also consider that Teddy Purcell would have put up the exact same number of points in his slot had the add/drop for Perreault never been used. Let's pretend instead, that the add/drop was used to put Bo Horvat (also sent packing) into Michael Frolik's spot. Yes, all this stretching is making my hammies a bit sore, but had all those moves been made differently, the Flyers would not be "giving up" on their season. Instead, they'd be tied with the Lidstroms, 12 back of first place, which is well within striking distance with 6 weeks to play for any KL team, let alone the star-studded cast that would still include Ovechkin and Datsyuk.

Runner up: the GM of the Schizzarks was actually a candidate for GM of the month, for the sole reason that he immaculately conceived Mikko Koivu and a 3rd round pick (a top 30 pick) in next year's draft from absolutely nothing (PA "The Father" Parenteau). The trouble is, this move has likely repositioned him in this never-never land of "should-I-or-shouldn't-I?". Consider--which this GM endlessly has--that the Schizzarks were a mere five procrastinating hours away from nabbing Nick Foligno, an acquisition that would have found him in first in the KCKL today by 8 points. He then had the hottest under-the-radar "prospect" (not by our rules) in the game, and decided not to lock that shit down. I truly worry that this pattern of behaviour in fantasy hockey is just endemic of a greater inability to connect current behaviour to future goals.